Well, we’ve had an example of why reopening locations too early can cause setbacks. A hair stylist in Missouri worked while showing symptoms. Masks were worn by both customers and employees and the company kept track of who came in, so they could notify everyone to get tested.
Anyone remember when Brett Crozier, Captin of the USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier sent out a memo saying he needed to evacuate the ship? The guy that relieved him of his command because the memo was leaked resigned less than a week later. Crozier is waiting to see if there will be a review about whether he can be reinstated and was diagnosed with the disease. Guess what? The doctors aboard ship were saying the same thing about the ship needing to be evacuated.
We know retailers are struggling and some big names have filed for bankruptcy as a result of the disease: J. C. Penny, Pier 1, Neiman Marcus. If you look at the category on Wikipedia about bankruptcies this year, that’s probably an easier way than listing them individually. Some filed before March for reasons not related to the disease, but the one for The Hertz Corporation highlights the same problem I identified for Boeing and Airbus
THC runs the Hertz, Thrifty and Dollar car rental agencies. Travel’s at a standstill, so if it survives, they’re going to have thousands of cars sitting in inventory for a long time until car rentals start picking back up. Will they have to quarantine returned cars like libraries are thinking about for returned books? A car is an enclosed space, so while you can clean surfaces in between rentals, you can’t clean everywhere. I can attest to that but in a different way: I bought foam to stuff around the sides of my car seats and the seat belt latches so that if something fell down, it wouldn’t fall into an area I couldn’t retrieve it from. It’s a tight space and there isn’t as much volume inside a car for anything floating in the air to dissipate as much.
I think we’re also going to see some cruise lines file next. It’s the same business model as an airline: High per unit cost (~$444 million for a Boeing 777-X, $500 million for the Diamond Princess) designed around getting the maximum number of passengers in and out of an enclosed space at a consistent pace. Cruise ships have the advantage of the enclosed space is larger and you have access to outside air, but the isolation of being at sea work against it in health issues like this.